Current Electoral Vote Predictor 2004:
Electoral Vote Predictor 2004: Kerry 307 Bush 231
According to this site, the electoral vote is pretty much a lock for Kerry.
Strong Kerry (189)
Weak Kerry (42)
Barely Kerry (76)
Exactly tied (0)
Barely Bush (45)
Weak Bush (52)
Strong Bush (134)
But a closer look at the map shows how important Florida is to this race. Florida has 27 electoral votes and is listed as barely Kerry. If bush's brother can deliver Florida the numbers become Kerry 280 Bush 258. Bush would still need 22. No Two of the remaining Barely Kerry states will give Bush 22. He would need to win at least 3. Its also interesting that even if Kerry lost Florida and one of his weak states, he still wins.
Since this is really the only thing that matters in the election its looking really good for Kerry.
Wednesday, August 04, 2004
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